Thanks for visiting this blog, created in July 2012 out of great concern for the fate of the €uro currency area, once again on the verge of collapse due to the economically ill-advised and heartless austerity policies imposed on Greece, Spain and other heavily-indebted €uro area countries by a christian democratic German chancellor impressed with the budgeting skills of Schwabian housewives. Meant to reduce the public debt and put the countries back on a path to economic growth, these macro-economically idiotic policies are doing anything but cause "pointless misery" as Paul Krugman so aptly describes it (Bloomberg, July 23-29, 2012).

Instead of reducing public debt, the austerity measures set in motion a vicious cycle of economic contraction, rising unemployment and poverty, lower tax revenues, private capital flight, and rising public debt shares as the economy declines faster than the public debt. What’s more, the austerity-driven ‘blood, sweat and tears’ policies recommended to the European periphery derive from the same economic doctrine that brought us to the brink of disaster in 2008. These policies are not only misanthropic and counterproductive to economic growth and debt reduction in Europe, but will prove explosive for the €uro currency area unless a drastic change of course takes place - and soon.

While I do not pretend to have ‘the’ solution for the €uro crisis, I would like to offer alternative economic perspectives and views on current events, and hope to chart a more humane path toward a balanced, socially fair, and sustainable economic future for the €uro area.

On the origins of the 2008 Great Financial Crisis:
90+% of traders are men, and they bet all of our bank deposits on liar loans which froze credit leading to 40% average losses passed on to ordinary taxpayers; then begged for trillion-dollar bailouts upon which they paid themselves 50% higher boni.”


Sunday, November 25, 2012

Why do European taxpayers continue to bail out eurozone banks ?


Watching IMF representatives and European policy makers bicker about whether Greece will attain some randomly determined benchmark or another by 2020 is akin to watching a scenario in a nuthouse. What makes me furious is the fact that the attainment of arbitrary benchmarks thought up by some non-elected bureaucrats determines the release of desperately needed financial assistance for Greece, and thus the fate of millions of suffering Greeks. 

Which brings me to my initial question: why are eurozone banks still being bailed out while the people in the Southern European periphery have to suffer under the troika's inhumane and economically non-sensical austerity policies ? Before attempting an answer to this question, let me provide some evidence for the dirty secret that, four years after the onset of the Great Financial Crisis, eurozone banks still need taxpayer support in the trillions (compare Yanis Varoufakis, "
Europe after the Global Minotaur"):


  • The March 2012 partial write-off of Greece's debt held by banks and private investors (the so-called PSI or private sector involvement) represents a huge subsidy for banks and a transfer of private investment risk to the public sector, i.e. the European taxpayer. Even though the market value of Greek bonds was discounted by 70-80% before the write-off, banks had to take a haircut of only 20%-30%, implying a taxpayer subsidy of between 50%-60%.
  • To add insult to taxpayer injury, the new sovereign bonds issued in exchange for retiring the old, nearly worthless ones are guaranteed by the EFSF, i.e. European taxpayers. Thus, 65% of Greek credit risk (€194 bln out of €300 total) has been smoothly transferred to the European taxpayer. And Greece, by the way, ended up with a higher debt burden than before due to new loans it had to take on to repay the troika creditors.
  • In August 2012, the ECB announced that it would buy an unlimited amount of sovereign eurozone bonds on the secondary market to keep interest rates and, thus, financing costs low for the countries concerned (mainly Spain and Italy). The dirty secret behind this operation lies in the fact that the ECB purchases raise the market value of these bonds held by banks and private investors, thus providing another taxpayer-financed subsidy. 

All in all, the corporate welfare payments to eurozone banks may cost European taxpayers hundreds of billions of euros, if not more, and the money does not even benefit the people who, by contrast, have to suffer dramatic cuts in wages and public pensions to free up money for their country's debt service and to improve competitiveness. 

So what explains this crazyness and why is it that the eurozone's financial sector has not been forced to deleverage and close down zombie banks instead of keeping them alive with taxpayer money ? 

Enter the Institute of International Finance

The answer to the question posed above might be found at the doors of an institution created 30 years ago, just two blocks from IMF headquarters in Washington DC, to represent the interests of the world's largest commercial and investment banks in debt restructuring negotiations with highly-indebted Latin American countries: the Institute of International Finance (IIF).

The IIF's membership in 1982 encompassed the eight largest US money center banks at the heart of the Latin American debt crisis: Citigroup, JP Morgan, Chase Manhattan, a.o. Today, celebrating its 30th anniversary, the IIF counts more than 450 members from over 70 countries, including a growing number of large insurance companies and investment management firms (regular IIF members) in addition to multinational corporations, trading companies, and multilateral agencies (associate IIF members). 

Until recently, the IIF was chaired by Josef Ackermann, ex-CEO of Deutsche Bank Group, who no doubt advised Charles Dallara, IIF Managing Directorthe IIF representative during the Greek debt restructuring negotiations in early 2012. ....This might explain the very favorable terms banks got in the March 2012 PSI (see above). It might also be no accident that the IIF recently moved its headquarters close to the US Treasury, the most important player in the resolution of the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.

Despite its inconspicious name suggesting a research institute, the IIF's website until recently didn't hide its true mission: being the most influential global association of financial institutions”, striving to fulfill this mission through the following activities (the mission statements below were taken from the website in 2011, they have since been toned down):
  • Systematically identify, analyze, and shape regulatory, financial and economic policy issues of relevance to our members globally or regionally.”
  • Develop and advance representative views and contructive proposals that influence the public debate on particular policy proposals, including those of multilateral agencies….”
  • Work with policymakers, regulators, and multilateral organizations to strengthen the efficiency, transparency, stability and competitiveness of the global financial system, with an emphasis on voluntary market-based approaches to crisis prevention and management.”
  • Provide a network for members to exchange views and offer opportunities for effective dialogue among policymakers, regulators, and private sector financial institutions."


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