Thanks for visiting this blog, created in July 2012 out of great concern for the fate of the €uro currency area, once again on the verge of collapse due to the economically ill-advised and heartless austerity policies imposed on Greece, Spain and other heavily-indebted €uro area countries by a christian democratic German chancellor impressed with the budgeting skills of Schwabian housewives. Meant to reduce the public debt and put the countries back on a path to economic growth, these macro-economically idiotic policies are doing anything but cause "pointless misery" as Paul Krugman so aptly describes it (Bloomberg, July 23-29, 2012).

Instead of reducing public debt, the austerity measures set in motion a vicious cycle of economic contraction, rising unemployment and poverty, lower tax revenues, private capital flight, and rising public debt shares as the economy declines faster than the public debt. What’s more, the austerity-driven ‘blood, sweat and tears’ policies recommended to the European periphery derive from the same economic doctrine that brought us to the brink of disaster in 2008. These policies are not only misanthropic and counterproductive to economic growth and debt reduction in Europe, but will prove explosive for the €uro currency area unless a drastic change of course takes place - and soon.

While I do not pretend to have ‘the’ solution for the €uro crisis, I would like to offer alternative economic perspectives and views on current events, and hope to chart a more humane path toward a balanced, socially fair, and sustainable economic future for the €uro area.

On the origins of the 2008 Great Financial Crisis:
90+% of traders are men, and they bet all of our bank deposits on liar loans which froze credit leading to 40% average losses passed on to ordinary taxpayers; then begged for trillion-dollar bailouts upon which they paid themselves 50% higher boni.”


Sunday, December 23, 2012

Merry X-Mas and a great New Year 2013


Dear readers,

forgive me for not posting as frequently as before. It's due to the usual X-Mas stress and the fact that my notebook died in my bed (fortunately, I don't have this effect on human beings).

Will get a brandnew tablet PC soon and continue my regular posts.

Until then, dear readers, may you have a jolly, merry X-Mas and a healthy, happy and successful New Year.




Sunday, December 9, 2012

Desperately seeking women economists for economic and financial leadership positions

I'd like to use the relative calm on the euro front (before the next storm) as an opportunity to ponder the sparsity of women economists among leading economic and financial policymakers in Germany. That is the reason why I came up with only one woman's name for a leading policy role in my economic shadow government:  not surprisingly, as minister for labor and social policy, a traditionally female role.

The Status Quo

With the exception of chancellor Merkel and the Left (Die Linke), there are no women in leading economic or financial policymaker roles in Germany, neither in the Bundestag (the upper house of the German parliament), nor in the Bundesrat (the lower house), nor on the European level.

As the leader of the most powerful economy in the eurozone, chancellor Merkel has the last word in European economic policymaking. She is, however, no trained economist and mostly follows the advice of  her all-male economic policy team, most of them with outdated, dogmatic, or no academic training in economics and/or finance [1] which partly explains her idealization of the budgeting skills of Schwabian housewives and her insistence on the macro-economically non-sensical austerity policies in the Southern periphery.  

Merkel's main opposition parties SPD and the Greens boast a number of women economists in the Bundestag and Bundesrat, yet appointed NO women to visible economic or financial policy leadership roles. The only exception is the Left with Sarah Wagenknecht, a trained economist, as deputy party leader. She frequently writes columns on economic policy issues and is often invited to talk shows and public economic policy discussions. 

Women economists are desperately needed to improve economic and financial policymaking

Following the near collapse of the world economy due to the mis-management of a male-dominated financial sector, it ought to be in the interest of ALL to appoint more women economists and financiers to high-level economic and financial policy and management posts. 

This is particularly true for Germany, a country where several of the largest German banks suffered huge losses which had to be covered by taxpayers, and where only 2% of the top management posts are held by women. The possibility that there could be a correlation between the mis-performance of Germany's (and other country's) financial sector and the 98% male quota in banks' top management is not as far-fetched as many self-respecting male may think: a study by John Coates, former Wall Street trader turned senior research fellow in neuroscience and finance at the University of Cambridge, found that "hormones such as testosterone are responsible for driving young male traders to take increasingly ill-calculated risks that turn bull markets into bubbles and even financial crises." That alone should be a more than sufficient reason for appointing more women to high-level financial and economic posts.

But there's more: While Germany's predominantly male 'elite' constantly and very publicly complains about the low birth rates among German-born women, the fact that single mothers constitute the largest group among the poor in Germany is never addressed in the equally male-dominated mainstream media. The obvious correlation between the poverty-risk of childrearing and low birth rates in Germany has been ignored for years. Instead, Germany's policymakers spend billions of €uros of taxpayer money for child care subsidies, even child-rearing 'salaries' (the so-called Elterngeld), as well as PR on the joys of parenthood. A second important reason why Germany needs female economic policymakers in leadership positions !

The third reason:  the (lack of) quality of financial and economic policymaking in the eurozone.
Whenever a woman's quota is being discussed in Germany to force men to give up a portion of their privileged positions to women, the age-old chestnut about a lack of qualified women candidates is being trotted out. Or, if that doesn't work because young women with better university diplomas than men are overwhelming the labor market, the already aging chestnut about how it takes time for these women to move them up the career ladder (see Heiner Thorborg's CEO initiative), thus ensuring that it takes another 10-20 years before Germany's top management reaches the targeted quota of 30% women.

In view of the recent near collapse of the world economy, it is obvious that women can NOT possibly perform worse than men in financial and economc leadership positions. And so, for the benefit of us all, we might as well give ALL well-trained women economists and financiers, young and older, a chance NOW.



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[1] Her finance minister Mr. Schäuble; her economics minister Mr. Rösler (a trained  surgeon who caused a market panic when he suggested that Greece needed a debt reduction), Mr. Bruederle (economics speaker of her coalition partner FDP), and her powerful banker friends (Joe Ackermann and other chiefs of zombie banks). 

Sunday, December 2, 2012

A progressive alternative to Merkel's muddle-through government

Following the Eurogroup's latest 'Greek Deal', the economic prospects for the eurozone remain bleak, if not downright depressive (see Yanis Varoufakis' excellent analysis). For fear of telling the truth to the German electorate that her Schwabian housewife policies have failed, chancellor Merkel is bound to continue her muddle-through strategy until the general election in September 2013. Meanwhile, the Southern European periphery is condemned to another year of economic and mental depression, and a growing humanitarian and political crisis.

Germany's largest opposition party SPD (social democratic party) has 'appointed' a chancellor-candidate (Peer Steinbrueck) who continues to support Agenda 2010 policies and thus is likely to pursue an economic strategy very similar to Merkel's austerity cum supply-side reforms package, albeit with an emphasis on economic growth (see my post "What do recent events mean for the EU and economic policy in the eurozone, part II").  And Germany's Greens, the only possible SPD-coalition partner to prevent another Merkel government, also voted for pro-Agenda 2010 candidates (see my post "Best-case economic scenario postponed").  Enough for Europe's non-austerians to despair !

Yet, even Germany has a small group of progressive economic policymakers and experts who could form an alternative (shadow) government ready to take the baton from Merkel's Schwabian housewife team and enact the necessary U-turn in economic policies in the eurozone, away from the explosive debt-deflationary strategy currently pursued toward a humane, job-creating growth strategy which is also the only viable strategy for a sustained and sustainable lowering of debt ratios in Greece and elsewhere. The financing of such a strategy could be provided by the receipts from a financial transactions tax, a solidarity tax imposed on financial institutions and the rich, as well as project funds from the EBRD and the EIB.

Germany's progressive (economic) shadow government could include (please take note, Mr. Soros):

- Sven Giegold (Greens), currently MdEP and member of the Committee for Economic and Monetary Affairs, as Minister for European Economic Policy working in close coordination with
Heiner Flassbeck (SPD), currently chief economist of UNCTAD, as Minister for International Economic Policy and Cooperation
- Gerhard Schick (Greens), currently the Green speaker for fiscal policy, as Minister of Finance
- Peter Bofinger (no party affiliation), currently professor of economics and a member of Germany's Council of  Economic Advisors, as Economics Minister.

An excellent coordinator of this progressive shadow government would be Claudia Roth (Greens) in the role of chancellor or vice-chancellor/Foreign Minister.

While this shadow government exists only in my imagination, it might be a good idea for such a group of progressive policymakers to actively start a conversation about alternative economic strategies for the eurozone, so as to be ready to take charge if and when the current debt-deflationary strategy explodes in our faces, and the euro with it.