Thanks for visiting this blog, created in July 2012 out of great concern for the fate of the €uro currency area, once again on the verge of collapse due to the economically ill-advised and heartless austerity policies imposed on Greece, Spain and other heavily-indebted €uro area countries by a christian democratic German chancellor impressed with the budgeting skills of Schwabian housewives. Meant to reduce the public debt and put the countries back on a path to economic growth, these macro-economically idiotic policies are doing anything but cause "pointless misery" as Paul Krugman so aptly describes it (Bloomberg, July 23-29, 2012).

Instead of reducing public debt, the austerity measures set in motion a vicious cycle of economic contraction, rising unemployment and poverty, lower tax revenues, private capital flight, and rising public debt shares as the economy declines faster than the public debt. What’s more, the austerity-driven ‘blood, sweat and tears’ policies recommended to the European periphery derive from the same economic doctrine that brought us to the brink of disaster in 2008. These policies are not only misanthropic and counterproductive to economic growth and debt reduction in Europe, but will prove explosive for the €uro currency area unless a drastic change of course takes place - and soon.

While I do not pretend to have ‘the’ solution for the €uro crisis, I would like to offer alternative economic perspectives and views on current events, and hope to chart a more humane path toward a balanced, socially fair, and sustainable economic future for the €uro area.

On the origins of the 2008 Great Financial Crisis:
90+% of traders are men, and they bet all of our bank deposits on liar loans which froze credit leading to 40% average losses passed on to ordinary taxpayers; then begged for trillion-dollar bailouts upon which they paid themselves 50% higher boni.”


Sunday, April 14, 2013

Austerity: Human Costs of a Trans-Atlantic Plague

Following many warnings by economists, social scientists, and others about the disastrous human, economic and social costs of the fiscal austerity policies imposed on Greece, Spain, and Portugal, we now have scientific evidence. In April 2013, the health journal Lancet published a study that examines the health effects of austerity. The findings are dramatic: sky-rocketing suicide rates and outbreaks of infectious diseases such as HIV, Malaria, West-Nil or Dengue fever are becoming more common as a result of "state retrenchment". The situation is most dramatic in Greece where hospitals have difficulties to maintain minimum medical standards. Moreover, budget cuts have restricted access to health care and medication as many can no longer afford medical insurance. Suicides in Greece have risen by 40% in one year (2011). By contrast, the financial crisis has had no discernible effect on people's health in Iceland, a country that rejected austerity and instead invested in public services. The lead scientist of the study, London medical professor Martin McKee, accuses Europe's politicians to deny the dramatic health effects of their most recent rounds of austerity imposed on the Southern European periphery. In fact, the EU commission is obligated to examine the consequences of their policies on health, says McKee. So far, this has not been done.

Across the Atlantic, the situation is very similar. The ideological focus on fiscal austerity to reduce public debt in the US has resulted in sticky high unemployment rates, downward pressure on already low wages, reduced health care and retirement benefits, and a general retrenchment of social services. On both sides of the Atlantic, at the beginning of the 21st century ideology and money seem more important than human lives. Hello ?! Are we going back to the middle ages or has a rare cockroach zombie eaten people's brains ? What ever happened to inalienable human rights such as life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness ?

It is, again, a woman's voice that attempts to insert some humanity and reason into this miserable state of affairs: on April 10, IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde gave a most remarkable speech on the global growth outlook to (mostly) finance professionals at the Economic Club in New York city. Here are a few extracts from my notes:

"With over 200 million people out of work in 2013, job creation is an urgent priority....because a high level of employment is the best guarantee for a vibrant economy and a healthy society....the best way to create jobs is through growth, with the right mix of demand-side and supply-side policies....Governments / policymakers can deploy labor-market policies to spur job creation more directly while at the same time accepting fiscal policy sustainability: through education, vocational training, wage and childcare subsidies, lower taxes on labor, etc."....."In addition to growth and jobs, we need more equity and inclusion....A more balanced distibution of income leads to more sustained growth and economic stability. Inequality today is too high in too many countries....Equity also matters because of adjustment fatigue....Just as the pains of adjustment have to be shared, the gains of growth need to be shared as well....We should protect the people most affected by crises and make adjustment as fair as possible...by protecting basic social services, by ensuring progressivity in the tax system and by combating tax evasion." (source: Bloomberg videos)

I have just one question: why do IMF adjustment programs in Greece and elsewhere not reflect Madame Lagarde's views ?  As they used to say at Harvard: Don't just do the talk, walk the walk!

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